The S&P 500 is still significantly overpriced

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Financial Times 18h ago

The S&P 500 is still significantly overpriced - Financial Times

Quick Summary:

The companies account for one-third of the S&P 500’s market capitalisation.(They also skew net profit margin estimates for the whole stock market upward.) So selling them is an easy way to cut risk exposure as the news whipsaws.

If most investors reasonably expect tariff rates to eventually settle at least several multiples higher under Trump than where they started 2025, they are yet to fully price that in, along with the lingering impact of economic uncertainty.

For measure, Goldman Sachs estimates that each 5 percentage point rise in the US tariff rate leads S&P 500 EPS to fall roughly between 1 to 2 per cent.